VALUATION OF THE IMPROVED BALTHAZAR SCORE WITH IMPROVED ATLANTA AND BISAP SCORE IN THE PROGNOSIS OF SEVERITY OF ACUTE PANCREATITIS
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Abstract
Background: Severe acute pancreatitis (AP) is a significant clinical problem which is associated with a high mortality at 12 - 30%. To predict the severity and mortality of (AP) multiple clinical, laboratory, and imaging - based scoring systems are available. A number of prognostic scores based on contrast - enhanced computed tomography results have been developed to help distinguish cases at risk of severe presentation and increased probability of complications (most popular - Balthazar score). Objectives: To determine of improved Balthzar score with improved Atlanta and BISAP in prognosis of severity of acute pancreatitis at Ca Mau General Hospital from 2019 to 2020. Materials and methods: A cross - sectional descriptive study of 50 patients presenting with AP was admitted at Department of Internal Gastroenterology in Ca Mau General Hospital from February 2019 to August 2020. Results: Of the 50 patients, 22% patients developed severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). The area under the curves (AUC) of improved Atlanta, BISAP and improved Balthazar for predicting serverity and mortality in AP were (0.927; 0.893; 0.965). The sensitivity (Se), specificity (Sp), positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) of improved Atlanta, BISAP and improved Balthazar score, with a cut-off of 3 in predicting SAP, were (100%; 82%; 61%; 100%) and (90%; 82%; 59%; 97%) and (100%; 74%; 52%;100%). Conclusions: Improved Balthazar scale score was a very useful indicator for prediction and selection patients in early stages of acute pancreatitis who were at risk of developing pancreatic and/or peripancreatic necrosis already on the first day of the onset of symptoms and could be used for treatment planning and monitoring of therapy of acute pancreatitis.
Keywords
CECT: Contrast - enhanced computed tomography, acute pancreatitis
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